NHL DFS: Picks, Projections, Ownership, Rankings, Tips for Winning Lineups 12/12

The NHL DFS slate for 12/12 hands us a very manageable 6 games.  Each game carries at least a 6 O/U in Vegas, with four carrying a 6.5 total.  We should see some scoring! Let’s look at the players we should focus on, and who we might pair with them... The post NHL DFS: Picks, Projections, Ownership, Rankings, Tips for Winning Lineups 12/12 appeared first on DFS Army.

NHL DFS: Picks, Projections, Ownership, Rankings, Tips for Winning Lineups 12/12

The NHL DFS slate for 12/12 hands us a very manageable 6 games.  Each game carries at least a 6 O/U in Vegas, with four carrying a 6.5 total.  We should see some scoring!

Let’s look at the players we should focus on, and who we might pair with them from other teams.

We have lots of great options for correlating in tournaments, value plays for cash games, and overall ceiling plays that can break a slate.  Let’s analyze some of the best plays offered by optimizers for today’s slate on either Draftkings or Fanduel.  And, our VIPs can head into our hockey forums to discuss sensible, strategic pivots if these plays look vulnerable.

For more detailed analysis, our Domination Station Optimizer is loaded with both player and ownership projections.  And, our NHL Cheatsheets deliver tournament-winning leverage plays from our other NHL coaches in addition to this quick-hitting slate starter.

NHL DFS

Mar 14, 2022; Ottawa, Ontario, CAN; Arizona Coyotes left wing Lawson Crouse (67) chases Ottawa Senators defenseman Thomas Chabot (72) in the first period at the Canadian Tire Centre. Mandatory Credit: Marc DesRosiers-USA TODAY Sports

Defense – Thomas Chabot (OTT)

Defense can be punted, but your power play quarterbacks typically carry huge floors.  Names like Roman Josi, John Carlson, Cale Makar often make these lists, but tonight we turn to Thomas Chabot of the Ottawa Senators.  Picking on the Anaheim Ducks is a thing. The Ducks’ defense is allowing 4.0 goals per game over three weeks.  Ottawa has a lot of cheaper NHL DFS players right now, and Chabot gives you solid exposure to all of them.  Chabot is offensive-minded and active lately (33 shots + blocks in L10 games) with goals in three of his last four games and points in four of his last five.  And Chabot costs $2000 less on Fanduel tonight than Roman Josi (where most people will turn).

Wing – Matt Duchene (NSH)

Nashville draws the St. Louis Blues tonight, and STL has quickly vaulted to the top of the list in terms of goals against lately.  They make Anaheim look like the 1985 Chicago Bears.  Goals come in bunches vs STL and opponents are pouring it on.  STL might get right someday, but until we see it, we need to target Predators tonight.  Matt Duchene offers a reasonable salary and the most consistent game log outside of lead defenseman Roman Josi (who is a great start if you have the salary).  Duchene has scored 10+ fantasy points in all but three of his last ten games.  He is currently on your top line and top power play as a result of his production.  Should STL collapse again tonight, Duchene is probably paying off his salary with ease, and he might be pushing his 25 pt ceiling for you.

Goalie – Cam Talbot (OTT)

Keep an eye on your news, but currently, Talbot is the probable goalie.  And, again, facing Anaheim is a good spot to target.  Optimizers love cheaper goalies due to their volatility (don’t let touts saying “goalie is most predictive and highest floor position” mislead you…both are true statements, but goalie is still volatile as hell).  Talbot is an easy play here facing less danger than Saros (NSH), Jarry (PIT), or even Jake Allen (MTL).  If you want the safer approach for MME contests, ping-pong Talbot with Gibson some and lock up that win no matter the outcome of that game.  In his last game facing ANA, Talbot stopped 31 of 32 shots for 32.8 FD fpts and 4.3x value for his salary at the time….the matchup is there.

Wing – Vladimir Tarasenko (STL)

Tara9191 can be an absolute slate-breaker, but he hasn’t been yet this year.  Tonight is a night where optimizers are loving both sides of this Nashville @ St. Louis matchup, and we could very well see a shootout.  If that shootout transpires, I’m going to want the potent STL2 line of Thomas, Kyrou and Tarasenko.  The firepower this NHL DFS skating line possesses is really strong for a total salary for the stack of $15,400.  Compare to Edmonton’s McDavid, Draisaitl and Hyman ($29,100) and the top EDM line has to do twice as much tonight to pay off in a matchup that certainly isn’t any softer than Tarasenko and the Blues’.  EDM can, but STL has the higher ceiling due to the cheap price points.

NHL DFS Picks How To Win

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NHL DFS Stacks for Tonight

Ottawa appears to lead the way for stacks tonight facing those Anaheim Ducks.  Remember, stacking a skating line is great, including a defenseman can be incredible, but if the line you stack is crushing to the point of positioning you for a gpp winner, that goalie is likely putting up points, too.  Don’t leave Cam Talbot out of your tourney stacks when you use the Senators.  His 30+ points are on the table.

Stacking that 2nd line of STL looks odd at home (we prefer 2nd lines on the road, typically), but this line has the firepower to compete with a huge, chalky line like EDM1 on a dollar for dollar basis.  In a 6.5 total game for far cheaper pricing, you might get both STL and EDM together if you don’t pair STL with NSH in the single-game shootout scenario.

Another interesting stack option the optimizers are picking up on flies across the slate to the Pittsburgh Penguins.  I don’t know what the optimizers see in the matchup because DAL isn’t allowing a ton of goals and PIT isn’t scoring a ton right now.  The matchup feels flat and mediocre, especially considering how expensive PIT can be with Crosby/Malkin combos.  The optimizers are targeting the $4400 salary of Kris Letang, and usually I can get on board.  However, Letang has missed time recently, and hasn’t produced even before missing time like he traditionally produces.   My opinion is that the optimizers/projections in the industry are putting too much weight on historical production and the over $1000 recent price drop.  This causes the fpt/$ to spike sending the optimizers into ecstasy over what is really just a very mediocre play.  Let them….focus elsewhere.

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Our Discord Channels  will be discussing many angles tonight with updated news and projection data.  Remember, early news is subject to change through the day.  Keep your eyes to our coaching rooms and be willing to go with the flow before lock.  Late news is the best news.

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The post NHL DFS: Picks, Projections, Ownership, Rankings, Tips for Winning Lineups 12/12 appeared first on DFS Army.